Numancia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 3
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 0
HUE
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 0
NUM
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 0
MIR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CDT
3 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
CDT
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
OVI
0 - 2
ELC
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ELC
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
ELC
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |