Novorizontino vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 3
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NOV
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAT
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
RIO
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |