Paulista A2 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Novorizontino vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OES
0 - 1
NOV
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 3
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOV
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OES
0 - 1
NOV
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 3
OES
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
OES
10%
16%
74%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OES
0 - 0
TAU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |