Novorizontino vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 3
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOV
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OES
1 - 0
NOV
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 1
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
OES
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |