Novorizontino vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
PAL
8%
23%
69%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |