Novorizontino vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
2 - 2
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRZ
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ITU
58%
24%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 4
CRZ
30%
29%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |