Novelda UCF vs Benferri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UEC
1 - 1
NUD
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 1
MUT
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
NUD
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 1
ATL
26%
24%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
NUD
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
POL
3 - 2
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
CAM
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
45%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |