Novelda CF vs Univ. Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+608%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 2
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
MUR
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BFL
1 - 4
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 4
RAV
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
BEN
37%
27%
37%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RAY
2 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
6%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 5
UNI
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRE
4 - 0
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
RED
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |