Novara vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 3
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
SAS
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 3
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |