Nova Venecia vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DES
1 - 1
NVE
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 3
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
NVE
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 1
SER
42%
23%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
31%
22%
47%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 4
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
BOT
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |