Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 90 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 3
NOV
22%
24%
55%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
FLA
6%
17%
77%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
OLA
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
VAS
6%
16%
78%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOA
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 1
BRA
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |