Notts County vs Maidstone United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
BOR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 3
NOT
15%
19%
66%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOT
15%
19%
66%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
OLD
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 1
CHO
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Maidstone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
YOR
4 - 1
MAI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 1
DAG
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DAG
1 - 0
MAI
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 0
WOR
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 2
MAI
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |