Notts County vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 1
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
NOT
3 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
LUT
4 - 2
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NOT
0 - 0
FUL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
WOL
2 - 2
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1977 |
CHA
2 - 1
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
BBU
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
CHA
5 - 2
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
BPO
2 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |