Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 2
NTT
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NTT
1 - 4
WHU
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WYC
1 - 4
NTT
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NTT
2 - 2
LEI
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
DON
0 - 1
NTT
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
DER
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
BPO
0 - 1
DER
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |