Nottingham Forest vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
WHU
0 - 5
NTT
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
NTT
2 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
1 - 2
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
BRE
2 - 1
NTT
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
NTT
2 - 0
BRA
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1949 |
BCF
1 - 2
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BCF
5 - 1
GRI
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
BCF
1 - 1
PLY
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
BCF
58%
20%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
BCF
3 - 1
LEE
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |