Norway U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
NOR
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
ITA
27%
22%
52%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 2
NOR
35%
23%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
NOR
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
CZE
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 2
ITA
14%
18%
69%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
58%
21%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |