North Texas vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
SPK
69%
17%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 3
TUL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
GTR
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
FMA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 3
NOT
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 1
FMA
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
FMA
54%
21%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FMA
1 - 3
MEM
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
FMA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 1
FMA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |