Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
NOR
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BSP
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
XVD
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
XVD
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |