Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Noroeste vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 1
TAU
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAO
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAO
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |