Noroeste vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OES
2 - 1
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VEL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
POR
5 - 5
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
TAU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |