Noroeste vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
VEL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 2
NOR
23%
25%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
FER
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
OES
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |