Noroeste vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEM
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
NOR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 2
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PRI
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |