Noroeste vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
COM
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BER
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
NOR
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
CAP
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOR
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |