NK Rogaška vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
10º
8º
64
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 2
NSM
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
ROG
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 1
RAD
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 2
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
FCK
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 2
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |