Nice vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
13%
17%
70%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MPL
3 - 1
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 3
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
STR
0 - 2
NIC
36%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NAN
2 - 2
ASS
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
NAN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAN
2 - 1
NÎM
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 0
NAN
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |