Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 1
NIC
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
NAP
3 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 2
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
LIL
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
FKQ
57%
26%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
WAA
0 - 1
LIL
17%
25%
58%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |