Nicaragua vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
NIC
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 4
NIC
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
3 - 0
MSR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 3
NIC
12%
16%
72%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
RUS
8 - 0
CUB
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
HND
4 - 0
CUB
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CUB
0 - 0
HND
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
SUR
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HTI
0 - 0
CUB
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |