Newell's Old Boys vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
NOB
2 - 0
QUI
67%
21%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
ARG
1 - 1
NOB
45%
30%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1991 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
TAL
0 - 0
NOB
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
NOB
3 - 0
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
TAL
2 - 0
SLO
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
SLO
2 - 2
IND
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1991 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
SLO
2 - 0
RIV
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
HUR
2 - 2
SLO
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |