Newell's Old Boys vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
SLO
38%
30%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 1
TIG
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAU
2 - 1
NOB
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NOB
2 - 2
OLI
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
NOB
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
ATT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
PAT
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |