Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
BOC
3 - 1
NOB
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
NOB
2 - 1
TAL
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ATP
3 - 0
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ATT
1 - 1
NOB
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NOB
2 - 1
TIG
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
DYJ
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
COR
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |