Newell's Old Boys vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 2
NOB
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NOB
5 - 0
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
NOB
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NOB
3 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GLP
0 - 0
LAN
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 1
GLP
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 0
BOC
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HUR
3 - 1
GLP
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GLP
2 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |