Newell's Old Boys vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NOB
3 - 0
RAC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SMA
2 - 0
NOB
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOB
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NOB
3 - 3
SLO
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 1
GLP
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GLP
0 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 1
GLP
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 0
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |