Newell's Old Boys vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
NOB
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 3
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
NOB
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIV
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
IND
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |