Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1997 |
MUD
0 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
WHU
0 - 0
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
NEW
3 - 1
DER
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
NTT
1 - 1
WIM
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
DER
0 - 0
NTT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
NTT
1 - 1
LEE
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
NTT
1 - 3
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1997 |
MID
1 - 1
NTT
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |