Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASS
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
HIB
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 4
WOL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
LYO
55%
22%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 2
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 0
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |