Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
WUF
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
NEW
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 4
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 1
ADE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 0
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ADE
3 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
WUF
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 0
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |