New York City vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DAL
2 - 1
NYC
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 2
COC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAL
5 - 1
NYC
73%
15%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COC
2 - 2
NYC
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 1
DCU
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
NER
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SES
2 - 1
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 0
ORL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RBN
3 - 0
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |