New York City vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NYC
5 - 3
ORL
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NER
1 - 0
NYC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
NYC
4 - 4
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
NYC
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 3
RBN
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SES
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
KCW
2 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
COC
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
NYC
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
2 - 2
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |