New York City vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 1
NYC
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOD
0 - 2
NYC
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
CFS
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 2
DAL
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NER
3 - 1
NYC
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RBN
3 - 2
COC
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
COC
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COC
3 - 0
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
COC
2 - 0
NER
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |