CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
New England Revolution vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
DAL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
NER
41%
24%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NER
0 - 4
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
LAN
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
NER
2 - 2
NYC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
PUM
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
0 - 0
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
SAP
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
41%
29%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 2
PUM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |