New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
NER
1 - 2
GAL
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
NER
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
NER
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
DCU
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 3
NER
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 2
NYC
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PHU
4 - 1
CFS
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
CFS
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 0
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |