MLS Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COC
0 - 1
NER
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
CFS
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NER
0 - 1
COC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
NER
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 0
NER
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CFS
1 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
CFS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 2
COC
39%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |