Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
44
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 1
WIL
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 3
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |