Náutico vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
NAU
27%
23%
50%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
NAU
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
AFO
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
13%
23%
64%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
CEN
17%
24%
59%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |