Náutico vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
29%
30%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LON
0 - 2
CSA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LON
2 - 3
COT
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LON
0 - 0
BRA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |