Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-5
Náutico vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 2
CRI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 2
NAU
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PET
0 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
74%
|
75 | 29 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
5 - 0
GUA
82%
13%
4%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
8 - 1
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 0
CAN
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |