Náutico vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAO
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAY
4 - 2
NAU
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
0 - 0
CSA
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 1
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FEC
7 - 1
FEC
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 3
FEC
13%
16%
71%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
4 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
2 - 1
SED
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |