Náutico vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
NAU
15%
19%
67%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
REM
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
30%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
LON
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |