Náutico vs Maguary PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
78%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
FEC
83%
11%
6%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAO
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAY
4 - 2
NAU
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maguary PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
PET
28%
23%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
MAG
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 3
RFC
12%
18%
71%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
NAU
8%
14%
78%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -1 |