Naters vs Sion II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
9º
8º
49
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MEY
6 - 1
NAT
62%
19%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
1 - 4
YVE
40%
21%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VEV
2 - 2
NAT
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 2
PFO
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 1
NAT
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sion II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
5 - 1
ECH
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
SIO
22%
19%
59%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 0
TER
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CSC
4 - 1
SIO
50%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |